Over the weekend, President Trump announced sweeping, broad-based tariffs across all Canadian and Mexican imports at a 25% tax rate (with Canadian energy products at a 10% rate), with goods manufactured in China also subject to a tariff tax of 10%. He has long promised to start this trade war, and in his first term […]
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Hold on for the ride, it’s Tariff Time!
03 Feb 2025
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Day 2 of Trump 2, a dizzying pace of disruption
22 Jan 2025
We always knew that Donald Trump wouldn’t change much, and that was both the encouragement and discouragement of his 2nd go-round. Despite the full-throated demonstrations of terminal Trump Derangement Syndrome, which claimed this would be the last election, that Trump would take away IVF, and on and on, we always knew the best predictor of […]
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California Wildfires necessitate an easy transformational reform of the Endangered Species Act
16 Jan 2025
Easy to understand, but not easy to implement politically given its status as a powerful club in the environmental movement’s arsenal. But that makes it a perfect target for the new Trump administration. With the fires running wild in Southern California, the California populace (and the American people who will get stuck with a large […]
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By most accounts, Mr. Hegseth acquitted himself reasonably well yesterday–at least the Democratic pique suggests that he did not give them the ability to turn away his nomination. But should he be SecDef? I agree that the President should be given general leeway to pick his or her own cabinet, but constitutionally the Senate is […]
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How much capital has been squandered by ChiComs?
12 Jan 2025
Well, one extreme case suggests 90%! Reuters reported this week (HT to Almost Daily Grants) that Country Garden, the large Chinese property developer that defaulted on it’s external bondholders has offered up new debt instruments with extended payback, or cash with a 90% haircut! Maybe the property sector is worse than the other capital misallocation […]
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Economic Challenges Await Mr. Trump
10 Jan 2025
First up, as reported by Yahoo yesterday, and covered in the WSJ today is that long term interest rates continue to rise, with the 20 year U.S. Treasury over 5%, and the U.S. ten year going from 3.62% in the trough in September to 4.76% today. In Trumpian lingo, this is a HUUUUGE move up […]
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Biden ignores his national security advisors’ advice to block Nippon Steel deal for national security!
04 Jan 2025
So reports the WSJ this morning. I’m reminded of the aftermath of the Afghanistan withdrawal debacle and the reporting that Mr. Biden ignoring military general’s advice and stubbornly followed his own poor political calculus that he had to have the U.S. out of Afghanistan by his own arbitrary timeline of 9/11/2021. At that time we […]
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Why we don’t want to be like Europe
26 Dec 2024
A few posts back I critiqued Fox News Laura Ingraham’s comment that basically said (my paraphrase) “Europe pursues a Europe-first policy in managing their economy and so we should be be pursuing an America-First policy with our economy” (embracing Trump’s tariffs). My retort was do we really want to be like Europe, when for multiple […]
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Yesterday Donald Trump and the CEO of the Japanese Softbank company announced a deal to invest $100B in the U.S. You can ignore the question of why investment by Japanese that Mr. Trump likes is good while Japanese investment in US Steel is bad, because a little cognitive dissonance is good for us all. The […]
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I am Tariff Man, and I rule the world!
16 Dec 2024
So American CEOs can just pound sand! The WSJ reports yesterday that CEOs are quietly trying to get into the Trump transition team to try and influence the new administration to not start a trade war, which will harm their businesses and raise prices. But as the headline says, “He isn’t budging.” I’ll have more […]