That’s likely to be the result in the U.N.’s upcoming Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC) “fifth assessment report,” if this sneak preview reported in the WSJ is true. Indeed, the benefits of global warming could be greater than the harm:
Therefore, the new report is effectively saying (based on the middle of the range of the IPCC’s emissions scenarios) that there is a better than 50-50 chance that by 2083, the benefits of climate change will still outweigh the harm.
The IPCC is under pressure to acknowledge the reality highlighted by global warming skeptics; that the earth hasn’t warmed in 15 years (perhaps 17 years):
Since the last IPCC report in 2007, much has changed. It is now more than 15 years since global average temperature rose significantly. Indeed, the IPCC chairman Rajendra Pachauri has conceded that the “pause” already may have lasted for 17 years, depending on which data set you look at. A recent study in Nature Climate Change by Francis Zwiers and colleagues of the University of Victoria, British Columbia, found that models have overestimated warming by 100% over the past 20 years.
It was just last year that we were treated to major alarms that arctic ice is vanishing and yet this year there is virtual silence to the record arctic ice reported in the London’s Daily Mail:
It’s worth repeating from an earlier post, I do not deny that man-made global warming could be happening. What this evidence shows is that the “science” certainly is not settled, and claims that our fundamental way of life should be drastically changed because of certainty in computer models should be rejected. Unfortunately the politics of what is increasingly being recognized by the science (even by the IPCC if this report is true!) continues to lag, as President Obama’s nominee to chair the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) thinks natural gas is a “dead end.”
We are admonished in scripture to not be naive, and to be discerning. And as Bereans, we go to scripture to test spiritual matters. In earthly matters of which scripture does not speak, the best we can do is go to the actual data–to test what is claimed, rejecting what is false and holding fast to what is true. So we don’t necessarily go to computer models predictions–but to the data. The data seem to be clear–we are not getting warmer (at least by anything like what the alarmists have predicted).
Isn’t it nice to know the world may not be coming to an end? 🙂